Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Big 12 Tournament basketball odds: TCU vs. Baylor

Baylor is probably in the NCAA Tournament as things stand, but the Bears certainly can’t afford a loss to one of the Big 12?s worst teams in TCU on Wednesday in Kansas City. Baylor opened as a 15-point WagerWeb favorite.
TCU (9-21, 0-18) enters on an 18-game losing streak and finished the season losing its final nine games all by double digits. Of the 16 players listed on the 2013-14 roster, only four in Kyan Anderson, Jarvis Ray, Brandon Parrish and Christian Gore have played in every game this season. The last five games, the Frogs have played without the services of second-leading scorer and junior Amric Fields. In the last five minutes of a game when TCU has the lead during any point, it has gone on to claim victory. In the 21 losses, the Frogs have never led under the five-minute mark.
Baylor closed the season winning three straight. It beat Kansas State 76-74 in Manhattan on Saturday. Kenny Cherry had 29 points and Cory Jefferson added 16 points for the Bears (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), who erased a 12-point second-half deficit to win for the seventh time in their last eight games. Baylor’s winning stretch coincides with the return of Chery to the starting lineup. He had been struggling with turf toe earlier in the season.
Wednesday is the 175th all-time series meeting between Baylor and TCU, but the first time the teams have met in a conference tournament since the 1992 Southwest Conference Tournament. Baylor is 4-0 against TCU since the Horned Frogs joined the Big 12, winning by an average of 24 points per game. Baylor’s 33-point win at TCU on Feb. 12 was the largest margin-of-victory in any Big 12 game this season. Baylor is looking to beat a Big 12 team three times in a season for the second time ever (3-0 vs. Texas in 2010). Baylor is 11-16 all-time in the Big 12 Championship, including a 7-9 mark under Coach Bryce Drew and a 6-5 record since 2009.
TCU has posted a 19-36 record in conference tournament games. The Frogs’ all-time records by conference tournament: Southwest Conference (1976-96: 10-20), WAC (1997-2001: 5-5), Conference USA (2002-05: 2-3), Mountain West (2006-12: 2-7) and Big 12 (2013-present: 0-1).
WagerWeb trends: Horned Frogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Horned Frogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
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